Crypto Scenario Insights
What happened
US President Trump claims a US-Iran peace deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz will be signed Sunday, while Tehran suggests a longer timeline.
What we think
The most likely outcome is a delayed signing of the US-Iran MoU within the next 7-14 days (50% probability), bypassing Trump's Sunday timeline but avoiding a collapse.
Read the analysis
US-Iran Peace Deal Claims: Will a Hormuz Reopening Trigger a Crypto Liquidity Surge?
We explain what happened and what could follow. We do not forecast prices.