Crypto Scenario Insights

Will MicroStrategy's Shift to 'Episodic' BTC Buying Dampen Spot Liquidity in 2026?

What happened

MicroStrategy's treasury holdings, reportedly reaching 673,783 BTC, face a shifting macroeconomic landscape in 2026.

What we think

The most likely outcome is a shift to episodic buying (55% probability), which will increase Bitcoin's intraday volatility and make price action highly dependent on specific corporate debt-issuance windows.

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Will MicroStrategy's Shift to 'Episodic' BTC Buying Dampen Spot Liquidity in 2026?

We explain what happened and what could follow. We do not forecast prices.

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