Crypto Scenario Insights

Will historical July seasonality and ETF inclusion trigger a SHIB trend reversal?

What happened

Shiba Inu (SHIB) enters mid-2026 down 94% from its all-time high, but historical July seasonality suggests a potential median recovery of 8.92%. Recent structural developments, including a reported T.

What we think

The most likely outcome is a moderate stabilization in July with a 55% probability, potentially yielding a modest 5% to 10% relief rally in line with historical seasonality.

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Will historical July seasonality and ETF inclusion trigger a SHIB trend reversal?

We explain what happened and what could follow. We do not forecast prices.

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