Crypto Scenario Insights
What happened
Donald Trump's public condemnation of Israel's recent strikes on Beirut has disrupted hopes for an imminent US-Iran peace deal, triggering a swift pullback in major crypto assets.
What we think
The most likely outcome is a short-term consolidation (55% probability) with BTC fluctuating between $62,000 and $65,000 as geopolitical headlines create noise but fail to alter macro liquidity.
Read the analysis
Will Geopolitical Friction Derail the 'Trump Trade'? Analyzing the BTC and Altcoin Reaction to Middle East Escalation
We explain what happened and what could follow. We do not forecast prices.