Crypto Scenario Insights
What happened
Bitcoin is poised for a 10.3% downward mining difficulty adjustment on June 13, reflecting severe margin compression as spot prices hover near the average production cost of $62,650.
What we think
The most likely outcome is neutral consolidation (55% probability) between $58,000 and $65,000 as the mining sector undergoes structural churn and hardware upgrades.
Read the analysis
Will Bitcoin's 10% Difficulty Drop Trigger Miner Capitulation or Stabilize the Floor?
We explain what happened and what could follow. We do not forecast prices.