Crypto Scenario Insights
What happened
Reuters reports that Greece's market regulator is poised to reject Binance's MiCA license application. A final denial would prevent Binance from passporting services across the EU, potentially forcing an exit from the Eu…
What we think
The most likely outcome is a neutral-to-bearish transition phase (50% probability) where Binance faces significant regulatory friction and a gradual loss of EU market share to compliant rivals, rather than an abrupt shut…
Read the analysis
Will Binance Face EU Exclusion? Assessing the Liquidity and Volume Risks of a MiCA License Rejection
We explain what happened and what could follow. We do not forecast prices.