Crypto Scenario Insights
What happened
Active-duty U.S. Army soldier Gannon Ken Van Dyke faces a December trial for alleged insider trading on Polymarket using classified intelligence.
What we think
Prediction markets have experienced explosive growth, but they rely heavily on pseudonymous liquidity providers and retail traders.
Read the analysis
US Soldier's Polymarket Trial: Will Regulatory Precedents Subdue Prediction Market Liquidity?
We explain what happened and what could follow. We do not forecast prices.