Crypto Scenario Insights
What happened
US lawmakers have reached a bipartisan deal on a housing bill containing a temporary ban on Federal Reserve CBDCs until 2030.
What we think
The most likely outcome is a neutral spot market reaction (65% probability) as the CBDC ban is a long-term structural development rather than an immediate liquidity catalyst.
Read the analysis
US Congress targets CBDC ban until 2030 — does it shift capital to stablecoins?
We explain what happened and what could follow. We do not forecast prices.