Crypto Scenario Insights
What happened
An attacker linked to Step Finance liquidated 261,933 SOL for $21.4 million after five months of inactivity, then converted the funds to 12,128 ETH and deposited them into Tornado Cash.
What we think
The most likely outcome is a contained, short-term impact on SOL's price due to the $21.4 million liquidation, with a 60% probability.
Read the analysis
Step Finance Attacker Liquidates SOL for ETH: Localized Impact or Broader Concern?
We explain what happened and what could follow. We do not forecast prices.