Crypto Scenario Insights

CFTC-regulated perpetuals launch on Kraken — will U.S. liquidity migrate onshore?

What happened

Kraken has launched CFTC-regulated perpetual futures for eligible U.S. clients via its Bitnomial infrastructure.

What we think

Kraken's launch of CFTC-regulated perpetuals is a major structural milestone, with a 55% probability of driving a neutral, long-term consolidation of liquidity onshore.

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CFTC-regulated perpetuals launch on Kraken — will U.S. liquidity migrate onshore?

We explain what happened and what could follow. We do not forecast prices.

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