Crypto Scenario Insights

Bitcoin's Historic Paper Losses: Will Holders Capitulate or Is a Liquidity Grab Underway?

What happened

Bitcoin has recorded its second-largest unrealized loss in history, yet low realized losses suggest investors are refusing to capitulate.

What we think

The most likely outcome is a volatile consolidation phase (50% probability) within the $62,000 to $66,500 range, as the market grapples with high unrealized losses and weak spot trading volume.

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Bitcoin's Historic Paper Losses: Will Holders Capitulate or Is a Liquidity Grab Underway?

We explain what happened and what could follow. We do not forecast prices.

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