Crypto Scenario Insights
What happened
Bitcoin's return to $64,000 is supported by a shift to positive spot ETF inflows and falling oil prices. However, upcoming Fed policy decisions and fragile geopolitical negotiations present immediate downside risks.
What we think
Bitcoin's recovery to $64,000 remains highly fragile, with a 55% probability of range-bound consolidation between $63,000 and $65,500 leading into the mid-week Fed meeting.
Read the analysis
Bitcoin Reclaims $64,000 Amid Geopolitical Shifts — Will ETF Inflows Solidify the Rebound?
We explain what happened and what could follow. We do not forecast prices.